Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FTM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 0.762956 0.884818 1.016919 1.170385 1.343378 1.531947 1.752640
2024-12-22 0.576133 0.742665 0.939502 1.187622 1.490177 1.845159 2.291030
2024-12-29 0.476953 0.671630 0.918733 1.251352 1.682775 2.218407 2.927962
2025-01-05 0.383191 0.584609 0.857102 1.245637 1.777072 2.469159 3.427464
2025-01-12 0.311451 0.511448 0.798142 1.228457 1.845077 2.681905 3.885140
2025-01-19 0.258580 0.454609 0.750931 1.216772 1.912484 2.891402 4.345681
2025-01-26 0.225240 0.421163 0.731707 1.240227 2.027469 3.170112 4.915447
2025-02-02 0.196342 0.389510 0.709811 1.254773 2.127020 3.429638 5.470257
2025-02-09 0.171094 0.359517 0.685814 1.261551 2.212383 3.670534 6.008751
2025-02-16 0.153867 0.340919 0.677942 1.292459 2.336135 3.974708 6.656707
2025-02-23 0.136308 0.318589 0.660283 1.303868 2.427253 4.231637 7.244033
2025-03-02 0.113958 0.282685 0.613099 1.257858 2.417065 4.324994 7.577973
2025-03-09 0.104112 0.271630 0.611944 1.295843 2.555709 4.671063 8.339792
2025-03-16 0.094223 0.258797 0.605756 1.323812 2.678891 4.999181 9.091121
2025-03-23 0.089727 0.257522 0.622572 1.396966 2.888048 5.483049 10.122899
2025-03-30 0.078805 0.238835 0.600697 1.391751 2.952337 5.721761 10.755512
2025-04-06 0.068340 0.219118 0.573815 1.373201 2.989165 5.913201 11.315359
2025-04-13 0.059731 0.202392 0.551133 1.360457 3.034992 6.121326 11.911555
2025-04-20 0.054632 0.194227 0.546967 1.386313 3.157528 6.473101 12.774010
2025-04-27 0.049504 0.184903 0.538771 1.402334 3.261000 6.794486 13.595859
2025-05-04 0.044494 0.174828 0.527343 1.409797 3.347060 7.087115 14.377875
2025-05-11 0.041284 0.169684 0.527620 1.443801 3.489915 7.492971 15.381871
2025-05-18 0.037431 0.161572 0.519113 1.456351 3.588071 7.817732 16.249548